Monday, 25 August 2014

Manchester United: On the Edge of a Knife

Paul Scholes’ frank remarks about being genuinely scared for Manchester United’s long held tradition of success were once again highlighted yesterday with another poor footballing display in the 1-1 draw with Sunderland. I am going to attempt to highlight a number of my personal frustrations with not only this game, but the last few seasons at Old Trafford that have led us here. Despite our impressive preseason that I was equally guilty in celebrating, I truly believe that Man Utd are on the edge of a knife and if we do not arrest this decline urgently, then we will face a number of years in the wilderness.

I want to quickly highlight a few of my own hang ups that date back to Sir Alex Ferguson’s final season in charge in 2012/13. This team won the league by a comfortable 11 points and according to many, even myself, were handed in pristine condition to David Moyes the following season. How was it that this same team went from 1st to 7th in a single year?

2012/13 saw the end of Roberto Mancini’s Manchester City reign, a season in which they truly self-imploded, notably the 3-1 defeat to Southampton which effectively ended their serious effort to reclaim the title. Mancini was replaced by Manuel Pellegrini at the end of season amid reports he had lost the dressing room, a fact that all Manchester United fans doing their best to hide their glee, unaware what we would later face under David Moyes’ tenure. Chelsea, meanwhile were facing their own managerial problems with Andre Villas-Boas, Roberto di Matteo and Rafa Benitez all attempting to put their own mark on the team that was a disorganised mess until Jose Mourinho’s return in 2013/14.

With this in mind, despite Sir Alex’s sterling management of what we now know is a very poor team, I truly believe that the failings of our rivals was the main reason for our runaway success in 2012/13. However, in Pellegrini and Mourinho, as well as the re-emergence of Liverpool under Rodgers, our rivals have not only strengthened on the pitch, but the boardroom scraps that held them back in the past look firmly put to rest. Coupled with our own managerial upheaval this has been, in my mind, the most obvious reason for our recent demise.

Robin van Persie. After losing the title on goal difference in 2011/12, we did what proved to be the decisive factor in winning the following season. We bought the league’s top scorer. Robin van Persie’s 26 league goals, and notably his hat-trick against Aston Villa, the game in which we secured the title, were clearly crucial. However, last season under Moyes, and even yesterday against Sunderland, admittedly lacking match sharpness, van Persie looked uninterested and was in the physio room for large periods of last season.
Before joining Man Utd, we had already signed Shinji Kagawa, with the idea to play him at football’s most glamorous position, the Number 10 (more on this later). I’ve only really seen Kagawa play an effective role in this position once, during which he scored a hat-trick in a 4-0 win over Norwich and seemingly pulled the strings, as one wants from your Number 10. However, it is interesting to note that he scored 2 of those goals, before Rooney added the fourth, after van Persie had been substituted by Welbeck.

The reason I bring this up is twofold.

First, van Persie’s arrival was at the expense of Kagawa. It was only well after Kagawa had joined us that we learned of van Persie’s availability with the frontrunners for his signature being us, Juventus and City. If City had van Persie in 2012/13 I’m certain they would have run away with the league that season. While signing van Persie looked a shrewd decision then, it has caused an imbalance in the team, not only to Kagawa but also to Welbeck, who’s lack of goals that season (1 in the league) continue to be held against him, despite his more impressive return when in his favoured central position, not buffeted out onto the left. His goal return in other seasons, while not prolific, is acceptable for a third choice striker.

The second reason is that I don’t feel playing Rooney (seemingly undroppable under Moyes and now as captain under van Gaal) and van Persie mean that to play a Number 10, whether Kagawa or Mata, is next to impossible. We are simply not mobile enough with those players as an option. Number 10’s need fast players to stretch the play, giving them more time on the ball and options. Welbeck answers these problems and allows a Number 10 more creativity with his movement but with both Rooney and van Persie lacking in pace, the Number 10 is irrelevant, forced to knock sideways passes, as we have seen in the games already this season.

So, while van Persie’s signing helped win us the league in 11/12, it has come at the expense of Welbeck and Kagawa and if we continue to pair him and Rooney up front with Mata at 10, we will have the same lack of movement in the final third, especially as we lack quality wingers.

Look, David Moyes was clearly overwhelmed with top level management and it’s sad that his stock will have fallen so drastically after his sacking (which was handled appallingly) but from our performances under van Gaal so far, I see very little difference. While we have lost 3 of our core defenders, and defence is an issue I will come to, I’m seeing the exact same boring, turgid style of football that left me resenting David Moyes and joining the mob, calling for his sacking. It’s funny to note that during our dark periods last season, fans were begging Moyes to bring Kagawa, Hernandez, Nani and Zaha into the team to change our approach yet there are few fans who would want to see those players start for us this season.

Yes, Moyes was out of his depth but I think the myriad of issues I’ve raised above go a lot further in explaining why we dropped from 1st to 7th in one season thant Moyes ineptitude as a manager. He wasn’t the right choice, he made bad substitutions but so far nothing I’ve seen from van Gaal seems to have changed our style. I don’t even care about the result so long as we look like we’re trying to play football. Lumping long balls up to Fellaini against Swansea was embarrassing, and I can only hope it was van Gaal’s way of letting the Glazers and Ed Woodward know that we need major reinforcements to this team.

I do feel van Gaal is the right man for the job, unlike Moyes. His adventure with the Dutch national team at the world cup, despite their relatively limited squad, took apart Spain and Brazil and played entertaining football against Australia and Mexico and I think with a few more players he can deliver a brand of entertaining attacking football.


I read a lot of noticeboards and forums, listen to a few podcasts. Even the most optimistic fans have conceded that we will not win the league this season but many talk about our rivals, “while City and Chelsea have reinforced, there’s no reason we can’t be up there with Arsenal, Liverpool and Spurs this season.” I find this laughable. All of those teams possess better squads than we currently do in all but a few areas. The most depressing thing about our performance against Sunderland wasn’t Sunderland held on to a point, but that we came out of the game with anything at all. Sunderland didn’t even play well, but our midfield play was abysmal and I genuinely thought at times we would be caught out, and if it wasn’t for Connor Wickham’s poor finishing (after a very skillful touch to bring it back over Michael Keane) it would have meant another loss for us. We were hassled by Will Buckley, contained by Lee Cattermole and easily kept out by Wes Brown and John O’Shea (two players we could do with considering our injury crisis at the moment!).

Scholes believes we need 5 players. Xabi Alonso, Sami Khedira, Raphael Varane, Angel di Maria and Mats Hummels. Well, Varane and Hummels are simply not available, neither team needs to sell and Hummels has explicitly stated he will remain at Dortmund. With the arrival of Marcos Rojo, who I know very little about, we may be able to strike one defender off the list, if the rest of our defenders can stay injury free and one of Tyler Blackett and Michael Keane can establish themselves as squad players. Of the two, I originally thought Michael Keane was the better player but Blackett’s ability to fit into van Gaal’s 352 system has surprised many of us. However, it’s all well and good having solid games against Swansea and Sunderland but up against top quality, pacey attackers I think both may struggle.

Many have questioned if Jonny Evans, Phil Jones and Chris Smalling can produce the goods in defence. I’m still not completely convinced in the case of Smalling but if the defence is protected by a strong midfield, you don’t need defenders like Vidic making last ditch tackles, especially if you can hold onto the ball, something which Carrick and Herrera are both capable of. If you look at Barcelona’s defensive pairing of Pique and Mascherano, neither are good tackling centre backs but are good on the ball and anticipate danger. Bayern Munich also played large periods last season with Jerome Boateng (who was a liability at times at City) and Javi Martinez at centre backs but with a strong midfield their defensive frailties were limited. The main problem is not whether they are good enough, but if they can stay fit for an entire season?

Maybe we do need 5 as Scholes says, but realistically I think 3 would be a push and that includes Rojo as one of the defensive options. Marcos Rojo, Arturo Vidal, Angel di Maria. However, if Evans/Smalling/Jones can’t stay fit through the season then another centre back simply must be looked at. Both Benatia and Daley Blind have been sounded out as additional cover.

While Herrera looked a cut above the rest of our midfield in preseason, the only game I really saw him look a world beater was against LA Galaxy, hardly the toughest opposition. I think Herrera will be a great player for us but I think a few fans are going overboard in their estimations of him but this may be fair considering he cost more than Fabregas and Toni Kroos (two players who both rejected us this season). Rojo too, just because he has an exciting foreign sounding name doesn’t mean we should expect great things from him. Considering our choices were either him or Vermaelen I’m not expecting him to become our domineering new centre half.

Vidal and Di Maria would be exceptional purchases. The financial climate in Italian football means teams can’t hold onto their prize assets like other clubs can so the likelihood of Vidal leaving is possible. He is a beast, quite simply and would add some force into our midfield we have not had since Roy Keane left. I’ve wanted Vidal at United for last two years and see him as the player we desperately need.

Di Maria would also be a fantastic player, comfortable on the ball, good passer and adds pace. He enjoyed his finest season in Madrid last year but with the arrival their shiny new toy, James Rodriguez, he has been pushed further down the pecking order, despite his work rate and teamwork while Ronaldo and Bale bomb forward.

It came into even sharper focus (as if it needed to be) against Sunderland that our midfield was woeful. Fletcher’s control was dreadful, Cleverley looked frightened when he had the ball and other players would often elect a more difficult option over passing to him. I thought van Gaal may be able to turn Cleverley into a decent squad player but he is simply not cut out for this level of football and it was frightening how out of place he looked. As vice-captain, Fletcher’s influence in the dressing room should remain for now especially with the loss of senior players.

While it’s been talked about all summer, I’ll quickly echo who should be joining Cleverley in the exit queue. Anderson is obvious, despite training with the first team since his return from Fiorentina, he’s deadwood and hopefully we can find a buyer. Talk of a £5.5 million move to join Nani at Sporting Lisbon sounds incredibly optimistic but if true we should be biting their hands off. As with Nani, we would most probably have to cover a large part of his wages for the next year of his contract. The Nani deal seems frustrating as despite his large wage (which we will be picking up for the duration of the loan), he was one of the few players who may have any potential sell on fee, a factor that has been sharply highlighted with Man Utd’s high net spend over the past five seasons.

Marouane Fellaini is another player who needs to be moved on quickly, hopefully his wage and current injury status won’t put potential buyers off, as he clearly doesn’t fit the system. While a personal favourite of mine, Javier Hernandez, should move on (especially if it’s a choice between him and Welbeck) for the sake of his career and international future. He’s a supremely talented goal scorer but is a very one dimensional player. He’s entering the supposed peak of his career and would command a decent transfer fee considering his goal return. He currently looks bereft of confidence and a move would suit all parties. While I would personally keep both Antonio Valencia and Ashley Young as squad players, on the condition that they are expected to maintain a certain degree of form and are both on their very last chances, I would move Wilfried Zaha on, either on loan or a permanent deal. While there is some talent in him, his attitude is poor and he will struggle as a wingback. Anders Lindegaard is seemingly set to join Celtic in a bid to find first team football, he’s been a solid back up to De Gea and I for one wish him the best.

I would even consider shipping out Rafael. Unlike many, I have no issues with his defensive discipline but his form last season was poor if we can take the chance to sell him for a considerable sum to a team like PSG who seem set on completing a Brazilian back four (Thiago Silva, Luiz, Marquinhos). I’d hate to see us stuck with a player like Nani, just hoping he can rediscover his form. We’ve hung onto players for far too long when they have underperformed. If we did sell Rafael, then we would have to add another signing as we have no other right back options.

Some final points about yesterday’s game with Sunderland concerning our front three. As mentioned previously with Kagawa, Mata’s role as a Number 10 is completely ineffectual with the combination of a midfield unable to retain possession and forwards who lack mobility. Our lack of decent wingers also highlights his deficiencies to this team. A great player though he is, Mata is a serious case of a square peg in a round hole when we already have Rooney, Kagawa and Januzaj. There is simply no point in having a luxury player like Mata if all he is able to do is knock the ball sideways. As I have mentioned already, Welbeck replacing van Persie and Januzaj’s addition against Swansea helped Mata as they spread out the game, otherwise he looks like an ordinary player at best who offered little. His goal hides the fact he has been anonymous in both games. Van Persie was lacking match fitness but I still thought he had little to know impact on the game, meanwhile Rooney seems to have lost the ability to shoot from outside the area, where so many of his goals have come from in the past.

In short, I feel the next two weeks will be make or break for both van Gaal and Man Utd. Without a doubt, van Gaal is a better manager than Moyes but if we do not mount a serious challenge for Europe this season, it will be a long time before we make it back. It is public knowledge that next seasons Adidas sponsor will be considerably less without European football, making it harder and harder to attract top quality names while Chelsea, Manchester City and the rest get stronger and stronger. Rojos is a decent start but we definitely need more players to arrive in the next two weeks, Swansea and Sunderland make a strong case for that.

Wednesday, 7 August 2013

Fantasy Football - Part 4, Strikers


The final piece of the jigsaw. It's more Amr Zaki or Michu - less Afonso Alves.



Strikers

And finally, the money makers. This is ultimately where your points come from. All it comes down to is goals. Who cares if you're conceding a hatful if you've got Rickie Lambert or Adam Le Fondre up front? And with this in mind check my first pick.

Gary Hooper - Norwich - 6.5 million
Definitely a punt but he has scored for fun for Celtic. As part of a new look Norwich frontline with Ricky van Wolfswinkel, I feel Hooper will be clinical in front of goal this season. By this stage of picking, my budget is really stretched so picking a player like Hooper, while a punt, makes sense. He could be this seasons Lambert or Grant Holt. I hope so.

Arouna Kone - Everton - 7 million
There are other strikers out there available for a similar price but I think Kone, coupled with Everton's attacking service will outscore his previous tally of 11. He's a big strong player and I think he can be the perfect foil for Jelavic. Again, possibly a risky one but I was saving to make sure I could afford…

Robin van Persie - Man Utd - 14 million
There's flushing your money and then there's this. RVP is streets ahead the most expensive player in the game but you can guarantee that, injury free, he will score you goals. And a lot of goals. Especially if Man Utd sign that mysterious creative midfielder, van Persie will enjoy great service all year. Also, if he is injured it means I have a LOT of money to replace him with another quality striker, possibly Aguero.

Strikers are scored by goals. Anyone who is in the right place at the right time, sticks a leg out and gets a lucky bounce will get you points so you'll know who to pick. Strikers often experiences random bursts of form and then unexplainable goal droughts which can never be anticipated. Bobby Zamora was a prime example of a moderately priced forward who scored a lot of goals.

Smart picks
Gabriel Agbonlahor - very consistent striker, never particularly prolific but will get you goals.
Dimitar Berbatov - considering his skill, he's pretty cheap. Played well for Fulham last season
Daniel Sturridge - Had a great season for Liverpool and last year and I expect him to build on that, potentially up there with the top scorers this season

Avoid
Dzeko/Negredo/Jovetic - I believe Aguero is the only automatic pick for City next season. You don't want 9-10 million worth on strikers rotating. Jovetic isn't really a striker either.

Worth a punt
Kevin Phillips - You can't keep a great goal scorer down
Nicolas Anelka - Again, we know he has scoring quality
Andreas Cornelius - Cardiff's record signing could surprise us all!

-----

Yes there are a few players in this team that could potentially cost me points so I will have to remain vigilant. For example, gameweek 1 sees Hull travel Chelsea, while Tottenham are away to Crystal Palace. This means both Robbie Brady and Allan McGregor are sat on the bench while Eden Hazard is handed the captaincy. Mannone starts in goal as they face a comparatively easier game in Fulham. Meanwhile, Darcy Blake sits on the bench while Younes Kaboul is started in preference as I feel Palace will struggle to score past Spurs.

We'll see how it turns out through the season. Thanks for reading (I so hope I win my leagues).

Tuesday, 6 August 2013

Fantasy Football - Part 3, Midfield



And now we're at the business side of the team picks. Midfield; will you be in choose the next Charlie Adam (Blackpool season) or the next Djemba-Djemba? Check out the tactics!


Midfield

This is where you get the points. Goals and assists should be flying in from all angles and you should have budgeted for this. Naturally, Gareth Bale led the way last season as free scoring attacking midfielders and wingers raced ahead. Maraoune Fellaini and Yaya Toure earned good points but are exceptions from the typical attacking players, however both offer huge attacking skill of their own. There really is no place to score points via the enforcer/defensive midfield role.

For example, Manchester United fans will tell you that last season was Michael Carrick's finest in a Red Devils shirt. However, he was outscored points-wise by Jonathan Walters, Wayne Routledge and Jason Puncheon. It shows that the system is flawed, with no space for players who do nothing but score and provide assists. But you can use this to advantage over all the other suckers who want a balanced team.


Eden Hazard - Chelsea - 9.5 million (VC)
It's time to start splurging again. The Belgian international had, by some standards, a lukewarm start to life in the Premier League last season but still ended up scoring nearly 200 points. I fully expect him to flourish in Jose Mourinho's new Chelsea team. With Oscar and Mata, I feel Chelsea have the most attacking force in the league and with Schurrle, Ba, Lukaku and let's not forget Torres, they will be a frightening team this season. 


Pete Whittingham - Cardiff - 5 million
Whittingham is a talisman for Cardiff and one of their leading guys. He'll chip in with goals and assists and can also be rotated depending on the form of other players and opposition. He has brief Premier League experience with Aston Villa but during his time at Cardiff he has become a mainstay through their years in the Championship. I fully expect him to make the step up.


Liam Brady - Hull - 5 million
The former Man Utd youth has shone during his time at Hull and I'm crossing my fingers that he will be a punt that pays off. He has won a number of international caps for the Republic of Ireland despite his tender age and has dazzled the Hull faithful with his trickery and skill. It remains to be seen whether he will be a regular as the Tiger's strengthen in what will be a difficult year in the Premier League.


David Silva - Man City - 9 million
Now in his fourth season at City, he will look to recapture the form of 2011/12 after a fairly anonymous season, by his standards. Under Mancini, Silva was often bumped onto the wing but with Pellegrini in charge, I feel City may line up like Chelsea, with 3 attacking midfielders playing off one central striker. I feel Silva will be a constant in this new look team, with Nasri, Navas and Jovetic in and around the first team. He has never failed to score less than 140 points per season and I fully expect him to come back refreshed and ready to help City reclaim the title.


Phillippe Coutinho - Liverpool - 9 million
It's rare in Fantasy Football when a players price in the game is more than in real life but it shows what an absolute bargain Liverpool picked up when they signed the Brazilian from Inter for around £8,000,000. He was a revelation for Liverpool in the second half of last season, laying on goals and scoring a few himself in just 13 league games. My only concern is that when Luis Suarez ultimately leaves the club, he will lose that natural understanding he has with a striker. However, Liverpool have done seemingly good business in the window so we will see.

Smart picks
Robert Snodgrass - great season for Norwich last year, but his future may be shaky
Jonjo Shelvey - Looks like he fits the bill perfectly for Swansea. Not a great scorer but can come up with assists
James Morrison - consistently improved over the last few seasons in an growing WBA team

Avoid
Gareth Bale - he's gone, deal with it
Michu - GASP! While I feel Michu will have another great season (and also that he's classed as a midfielder despite playing as a supporting striker is a huge benefit), now that the goalscoring burden is lifted with the arrival of Wilfried Bony, his price is too high when you can get David Silva, and Theo Walcott for similar prices.
Victor Moses/Kevin De Bruyne/Marco van Ginkel - All good players in their own right but won't feature enough to pay the fee.

Have a punt
Emanuele Giaccherini - Sunderland have pulled of a coup buying this former Juventus winger, you might too.
Jack Wilshere - Will he ever get fit? Available for a bargain price after such a long time on the sidelines.
Bo-Kyung Kim - Cardiff's South Korean winger has shown glimpses of brilliance in pre-season and could be one to watch this season.

Fantasy Football - Part 2, Defence




So, we're back. Let me know who you picked in goal in the comments section below. Tell me if you think I'm wrong and you chose Joe Hart AND David De Gea because F me, right?



Defence

Like goalkeepers, defenders are mainly scored on how many goals their team concedes, but are given healthy top ups for goals and assists. Due to this, picking attacking full backs makes far more sense than an old fashioned centre half. Looking at last seasons final standings it's clear to see, with the top 'true' centre back in 6th (Per Mertesacker) while Leighton Baines, Patrice Evra and Glen Johnson (I know, right?) were all ahead of him. Branislav Ivanovic placed between Evra and Johnson but played as a fullback at times and also chipped in with 5 goals which you cannot guarantee from a centre back season-by-season.

While attacking full backs can get you points at the top end of the field, you need to hope that their centre back team mates who you don't pick are doing their job.

Leighton Baines' huge point tally last season, while helped by his healthy goals and assists, also benefited from keeping 11 clean sheets and not conceding many goals. However, while Baines is good at tracking back and tackling, the majority of those clean sheets were mostly down to the partnership of Sylvain Distin and Phil Jagielka. While both earned over 100 points last season, Baines led the way, sharing their points and picking up extra with goals and assists.

This is the point, you need to think about the players you aren't picking, as much as those you are.

Here are my picks for this season.


Neil Taylor - Swansea - 4.5 million
Due to an horrific injury last season, Taylor missed the majority of the year and was covered by the impressive Ben Davies. However, Taylor is a supremely talented player who is just as happy to get forward as he is to defend and I fully expect him to wrestle his position back this season. The competent duo of Ashley Williams and Chico Flores will ensure Swansea don't ship in the goals.


Sascha Riether - Fulham - 5 million
Fulham were so impressed with their loanee Riether last season they have signed him permanently from FC Koln. I anticipate with another season in the Premier League he will enjoy even more attacking football in 2013/14. With Hangeland, Aaron Hughes and Senderos all jostling for the centre back position, you would hope they will also work hard to keep their place and defend their goal. With someone like Berbatov waiting for service, assists surely aren't hard to come by.


Darcy Blake - Crystal Palace - 4 million
A tricky pick, sort of influenced by price. However, if played at right back, has the ability to get forward and potentially send in assists for Kevin Phillips who has an excellent scoring record. Yes, Palace may concede like a sieve this season despite the Premier League experience of Ramage and Gabbidon but this guy is a punt from me. Also, if I know Palace are playing Man City and Swansea are playing Norwich, I'd make sure Blake is on the bench.


Younes Kaboul - Tottenham - 5 million
LIAR - You said no centre backs! I know, I know, but a season on the sidelines has seen Kaboul's stock slip down to a fairly cheap price. With Caulker off to Cardiff and Gallas released, expect a strong partnership between Kaboul and Dawson this season, with Lloris keeping the goals out.


Leighton Baines - Everton - 7.5 million
My splurge. It's easier to try and save your money for your strikers but Baines was up with the top points scorers last season. As I've mentioned, he benefits from a solid Everton defence and Roberto Martinez favours a different tactic to David Moyes. Last season at Wigan, Martinez employed Ryan Taylor and Jean Beausejour as advanced wing backs with three centre backs, almost a 3-5-2. I expect him to continue this attacking formation, with Alcaraz slotting between Distin and Jagielka. Playing further up the pitch, almost in midfield, will add to Baines' attacking game and help with goals, assists and ultimately points.

Smart picks
Jose Enrique - similar to Baines, often plays as an advanced defender
Cesar Azpilicueta - very attacking full back, I expect a very strong season
David Luiz - Has played in midfield numerous times, has great scoring technique (if he stays).

Avoid
John Terry - ARF!!!
Phil Jones - too heavily rotated
Aleksandar Kolarov - similar and expensive

Have a punt
Javier Garrido - if Norwich can keep out the goals, he'll get you points
Steven Caulker - Smart buy from Cardiff, let's see what he can do
John Stones - pre season or not, scoring in a shootout against Juventus like that is unreal.

Monday, 5 August 2013

Fantasy Football - Part 1, Goalkeepers




The football season is almost back! And what better way to prepare and make people think you know about football than picking a fantasy football team for 2013/14?

Imagine it, Hart in net, Baines and Zabaleta racing up from the back while Vidic and Kompany expertly tackle opposition attackers and send the ball forward to a midfield of Mata, Carrick, Hazard and David Silva, with Van Persie and Suarez banging in goals for fun.

And while the £100 million price limit could scupper the team of superstars like the one above, you can get some real bang for your buck (or one Gareth Bale) for the hundred milly.

While I haven't figured out an exact science to play the Premier League Fantasy Football, I'm going to try and explain how to maximise your points for a smaller outlay than you may expect. I've picked my own team, and while I may have potentially shot myself in the foot by claiming I know how the game works, I'll explain why I feel that this could be my best season yet! Of course all that could be wrecked by injuries, suspensions or Carlos Tevez doing a runner.

Obviously, at some points price dictated rather than sense, hopefully the rotation policy will save the day.



Goalkeepers

While last seasons leading scoring keeper was Joe Hart (158) aside from Petr Cech, joint second place keepers were Asmir Begovic and Jussi Jasskelainen, closely followed by Simon Mignolet and Mark Schwarzer. 

While picking Hart puts your 14 points better off, he also costs around 1 million more. Unless you put your goalkeeper as your captain, he won't ever win you a huge amount of points over a season as they don't score goals. Their main points come from clean sheets but even the best keepers struggle to do so for more than 50% of the season.

The next best place to pick up points is through saves. Hart, playing behind Kompany and Nastasic is forced to make less saves than someone like Jaaskelainen or Begovic. And because they do generally concede more, they cost around 1-2 million less than Hart, Cech, De Gea etc.

Also, with this seasons new addition of the Bonus Point Systems, players who play out of their skin, will be rewarded with extra points. So if Man City (Hart) beat West Ham (Jaaskelainen) 2-0, but Jussi's heroics kept it at two-nil instead of six-nil, he may end up with the same points than Hart who kept a clean sheet.


Allan McGregor - Hull - 4.5 million
While new to the Premier League, I feel this former Rangers and Bursaspor stopper has the quality to make a lot of saves behind what could a very shaky Hull defence. While he may end up conceding a hat full this season, my plan is to rotate him with my other keeper if he is playing a top four team.


Vito Mannone - Sunderland - 4.5 million
Sunderland have picked up this former Arsenal keeper on a free transfer and unless Sunderland buy a new goalkeeper, I feel he has a strong chance to be their number one. Sub goalkeepers are only used if your number one is injured or not selected on match day. It's usually easy to tell if a keeper will be picked by their form and injuries are highlighted by a red icon, allowing you to transfer or rotate in advance.

Smart picks
Jussi Jaaskelainen - cheap, will be kept busy
Ben Foster - Very consistent over last few seasons
Artur Boruc - If not rotated with Davis and Gazzaniga

Avoid
David de Gea - for the price, just not worth it,
Simon Mignolet - plays for Liverpool now so won't be as busy
Mark Schwarzer - signed up by Chelsea but won't get a game behind Cech.

Have a punt
Mark Stekelenburg - new to the league, could be the next Van der Sar
Brad Friedel - cheap as not played much last season, injury to  Lloris could see him back and we know his quality.